Editor's note: The story has been corrected to say where some of LCISD's growth is happening. Additional information on what the report shows for the Fulshear area was also added.

Robust residential growth in districtwide is driving projections of higher enrollment figures for Lamar Consolidated ISD, particularly for elementary school enrollment, according to a demographic report prepared for the district by data consultant Zonda Education.

The Lamar CISD board of trustees hosted a workshop Jan. 24 to discuss annual growth based on the demographic report, according to a news release from the district.

Digging deeper

Zonda is a national research firm that offers enrollment projections; attendance zone planning; and geographic information system, or GIS, mapping for more than 100 school districts annually based on home sales data, according to the release.

In the release, district officials reported the firm labeled LCISD a “hypergrowth” district, citing the number of new home developments.

The ranges for the top two metrics are as follows:
  • Fast growth: 150 to 300 new home starts annually
  • Hypergrowth: More than 300 new home starts annually
LCISD has contracted with Zonda to provide growth updates quarterly to support district officials' planning for the increasing growth in the area, according to the release. To accommodate the growth, voters passed a $1.52 billion bond in November 2022.

Contributing to LCISD's growth are several active and future single-family communities in the Fulshear area, including Tamarron and Jordan Ranch, according to the report.

By the numbers

LCISD is the fastest-growing school district in the Houston area, surpassing local districts with 3,818 new home starts and 4,110 home closings in 2023, according to the Zonda report.

Based on the Zonda report, the district expects the following growth in the next decade:
  • Continued development in 37 neighborhoods equaling 44,712 future home sites
  • Ongoing robust annual growth for next 15 to 20 years
  • An additional 2,135 new students each school year, including 800 elementary students
  • Forecast enrollment of more than 55,100 students by the 2028-29 school year—a 39% increase from the district’s 39,579 students in the 2023-24 school year
  • A projected enrollment of more than 65,700 students by 2033-34
What else

Zonda ranked LCISD as the top district in the Greater Houston area for total number of home closings in 2023, outpacing Conroe, Katy, Fort Bend, Houston and Cypress-Fairbanks ISDs.

More information from the report is available at www.lcisd.org/about/demographics-reports.

A map of schools is available on the LCISD website.