As proposed, the new TIRZ could end up funding roughly one-third of the Dog's Head's anticipated infrastructure needs like roads, sidewalks, power and water lines, drainage channels, and bridges spanning the Colorado. Austin Financial Services Director Kim Olivares told county commissioners a TIRZ will facilitate a catalytic mixed-use hub and employment center.
“You are truly creating an entire city in this area. So in a situation like that, it would be an automatic requirement that there’s public financing involved for things like this," she said June 24. "By providing that public financing, it also increases the scale of development that can occur that supports our community.”
Today, the city reports the Dog's Head area is assessed at about $17 million. If development and infrastructure plans proceed as intended, Austin's TIRZ modeling suggests that land could jump hundreds of times in value to $26 billion by 2061. Assumptions are based on Endeavor's projections for:
- 12,000 housing units
- 3 million square feet of retail space
- 1 million square feet of industrial space
- 1 million square feet of office space
Final financial figures are still to be determined, but Austin and Travis County's tax revenue throughout the Dog's Head would significantly increase from "nominal" levels today as development takes place, according to the city.
Both entities are projected to generate well over $3 billion in property and sales taxes through 2061 based on Endeavor's framework. The proposed TIRZ would set aside 80% of city tax revenue within the Dog's Head alongside 50% of the county's. All remaining tax funds would represent new public revenue.
Richard Suttle, an attorney representing Endeavor, called the Dog's Head's a chance for the local governments to "grow the pie" while facing tighter financial conditions.