'Something that you could have planned for': How isolated Texas power grid, winter weather left millions without electricity

Severe winter weather conditions led to outages throughout the Texas electric system this week. (Iain Oldman/Community Impact Newspaper)
Severe winter weather conditions led to outages throughout the Texas electric system this week. (Iain Oldman/Community Impact Newspaper)

Severe winter weather conditions led to outages throughout the Texas electric system this week. (Iain Oldman/Community Impact Newspaper)

Widespread power outages prompted by severe winter weather conditions throughout Texas this week have led to increased focus on the Electric Reliability Council of Texas, or ERCOT, which manages statewide electric power flow.

The dayslong failure of portions of the state's power grid, which is independent of the two larger interconnected systems that serve most of the U.S. and Canada, left millions of Texans without electric service this week, and as blackouts and power restoration efforts continued for days, public officials, including Gov. Greg Abbott, have called for an investigation of ERCOT.

“The Electric Reliability Council of Texas has been anything but reliable over the past 48 hours,” Abbott said in a Feb. 16 statement. “Far too many Texans are without power and heat for their homes as our state faces freezing temperatures and severe winter weather. This is unacceptable. Reviewing the preparations and decisions by ERCOT is an emergency item so we can get a full picture of what caused this problem and find long-term solutions."

ERCOT officials did not respond to phone calls or email requests for comment.

An independent system

Texas’ power grid has long been controlled within the state, separate from the eastern and western interconnects that cover North America.

According to historical information from ERCOT, localized energy utilities first formed in Texas in the late 1800s for power equipment in ice plants. Those utilities began selling additional electricity from the ice-making process to local residential and commercial customers. Eventually, they grew to combine resources statewide and elected to keep their power within Texas.

ERCOT was founded in 1970 to manage the power grid that covers most of the state. The Taylor-based council is now headed by a 16-member board of directors and regulated by the Public Utility Commission of Texas with oversight from the Texas Legislature and the governor. According to the agency, its primary duties since 1999 have been to maintain electric system reliability, facilitate a competitive wholesale market, ensure open access to transmission and facilitate a competitive retail market.

"We have one major regulator with the Public Utility Commission, and that independence has been jealously guarded, I think, both by policymakers and by the industry and ERCOT," ERCOT President and CEO Bill Magness said in an informational video published by the council.

Ramanan Krishnamoorti, a chemical engineering professor and chief energy officer at the University of Houston, said ERCOT's longstanding independence also came from the state's desire to avoid federal interference in its power grid.

"If you go national, you have the federal government putting its full force behind it—of rules and regulations. ... So the Texas uniqueness has really sort of stemmed from the idea that they did not want the federal government to dictate what happens with generation and distribution of electricity," he said.

While ERCOT does not own its own generation or distribution infrastructure, it manages electricity service for more than 26 million Texans, which amounts to around 90% of the state’s electricity use, according to company information. As of late 2020, more than half of ERCOT’s generating capacity—some 51%—came from natural gas sources, followed by 24.8% from wind, 13.4% from coal, 4.9% from nuclear and 3.8% from solar, although generation levels throughout the state vary.

While some regulatory benefits of the insular system have been highlighted by ERCOT officials in the past, its disconnect from the continent's larger grids has also left it prone to isolation issues during high-demand events, such as the winter storms of February 2021, experts said.

"Staying independent keeps the management of our power systems within Texas. But it means that we can barely import any power when we need it most, or export it when it’s windy and mild here," said Daniel Cohan, a professor of civil and environmental engineering at Rice University, in an email.

Winter collapse

A Feb. 11 press release from ERCOT stated that the agency issued notices from Feb. 8-11 about the record cold temperatures expected to hit Texas in the coming days and that generators were asked to prepare for the cold weather. ERCOT said at that time it expected a new winter demand record would be set that would surpass the previous record of 65,915 megawatts set in January 2018.

"This statewide weather system is expected to bring Texas the coldest weather we’ve experienced in decades," Magness said in a Feb. 11 statement. "With temperatures rapidly declining, we are already seeing high electric use and anticipating record-breaking demand in the ERCOT region."

ERCOT followed that advisory with a Feb. 14 notice in which it asked customers to reduce electricity use as much as possible through Feb. 16; that, in turn, was followed by a Feb. 15 notice advising that the council began rotating outages at 1:25 a.m. after it entered emergency conditions. According to ERCOT, more than 30,000 megawatts of generation was forced off of the electrical system due to the winter weather at that time.

"Every grid operator and every electric company is fighting to restore power right now," Magness said in a Feb. 15 statement.

As of Feb. 17, nearly 3 million customers remained without power statewide, according to the national utility tracker PowerOutage.us. According to ERCOT information updated shortly before 2 p.m. Feb. 17, systemwide demand sat at 45,352 megawatts, capacity was at 51,261 megawatts, and the agency remained at its highest emergency alert level.

Despite some early warnings in the system, Krishnamoorti said he believes the state's reliance on market conditions to manage supply and demand is partially responsible for the lack of power this week, given providers' lack of incentive to begin production well in advance of a supply shortage. He also noted the effect the types of generation sources in Texas has had on the drop in electric availability: While a drop in generation from wind sources contributed to the constraints, Krishnamoorti also said the slow ramp-up of coal and natural gas production and the national need for natural gas supply are among the main factors affecting the state.

"We knew that it was going to get too cold for us to be able to generate enough wind, and there were turbine issues. ... That was not the big story," he said. "I think [it was] the lack of preparation to get coal-fired power plants, natural gas-fired power plants [and] nuclear going, having adequate natural gas supply, and having that started ahead of time. Really a lack of preparation."

Cohan also said insufficient supply of natural gas, the state's top source of generation capacity, was a key contributor to the blackouts.

"The shortfall in natural gas supply is about 20 times as large as the shortfall in wind supply, compared to expectations for a winter peak cold event," he said. "All sources can better winterize. But the leading failure here is of the natural gas systems to supply enough natural gas at sufficient pressure to the power plants."

In a Feb. 17 statement, ERCOT said more than 46,000 megawatts of generation and around 185 generating units had been knocked off its system by the weather this week, including 28,000 megawatts from thermal sources and 18,000 megawatts from wind and solar sources. The council said factors for failures include frozen wind turbines, limited gas supply and pressure, and frozen instrumentation.

Planning ahead

The statewide outages reported this week represent the fourth such event in ERCOT’s history, following rotating outages initiated in December 1989, April 2006 and February 2011.

One result of the 2011 service interruptions, which were also caused by severe winter weather, was the publication of a comprehensive federal report that outlined the past failures of power generators to adapt their equipment to winter conditions. The report also included recommendations that ERCOT and other authorities make winterizing assessments, coordination, and related equipment and procedure updates a top concern.

"The task force recommends that all entities responsible for the reliability of the bulk power system in the Southwest prepare for the winter season with the same sense of urgency and priority as they prepare for the summer peak season," the 2011 report stated.

Beyond just following previous recommendations, Krishnamoorti said he believes the state and power suppliers could have further incentivized advanced preparation for the record-breaking, although expected, conditions experienced throughout Texas.

“We knew that this polar vortex was coming at least a week ahead. We could have planned," he said. "If it was an earthquake, if it was a volcano that went off that you just didn't know it was going to happen—I grant you that we have a challenge; but in the absence of that suddenness, this was something that you could have planned for and should have planned for.”

While smaller solutions, such as better home insulation and larger changes to Texas's electric grid, could help mitigate problems during similar events in the future, Cohan said he hopes the state will take a broader range of issues into consideration for any potential updates to its energy systems following this winter event.

"We need to look beyond the electricity system and realize that this is an energy systems crisis. This crisis illustrates how mutually vulnerable our natural gas and electricity systems are to each other," he said. "Adding transmission lines between ERCOT and other grids would help make us more resilient. It would especially help during summertime heat and hurricane events. ... But it’s important to prepare not just to refight this battle, but to be more resilient throughout the year and across a full spectrum of extreme weather and climate events."
By Ben Thompson
Ben joined Community Impact Newspaper in January 2019 and is a reporter for The Woodlands edition.


Houston City Hall in rainbow lighting
Greater Houston LGBT Chamber of Commerce celebrates five years of service

The organization is open to all and serves members throughout the Greater Houston area.

Montgomery County is set to receive its largest first-dose allocation during the week of March 1. (Ali Linan/Community Impact Newspaper)
Montgomery County set to receive largest vaccine allocation yet in first week of March

Nearly 20,000 vaccine doses were allocated to the county's two vaccine hubs and several additional providers for the week of March 1.

A coronavirus vaccine is given at Memorial Hermann's mass vaccine clinic Feb. 26. (Andrew Christman/Community Impact Newspaper)
Memorial Hermann closes out 2nd round of vaccines with 7,000 distributed among 2 clinics

The clinic will continue operations through 5:30 p.m. Feb. 27.

The new Fort Bend Epicenter multipurpose facility could be used as a spot for trade shows and sporting events, could act as a large-scale shelter for county residents in an emergency and more. (Community Impact Newspaper staff)
Large multipurpose complex coming to Fort Bend County; Sugar Land to widen University Blvd. and more top Houston-area news

Read the top business and community news from the past week from the Houston area.

Snow covers I-45 in Houston during a winter storm that hit Texas the night of Feb. 14. (Shawn Arrajj/Community Impact Newspaper)
Legislators probe energy officials over power failures, lack of preparation heading into winter storm

The Texas Legislature held hearings Feb. 25 with energy companies including Oncor Electric Delivery and the Electric Reliability Council of Texas in response to last week’s historic winter storm, which left millions of Texans without electricity for days.

The Woodlands Township board of directors met Feb. 24 to discuss items including winter storm recovery and a financial report. (Screenshot via The Woodlands Township)
The Woodlands officials criticize county officials over CARES Act funds management; commissioner fires back

The Woodlands Township board of directors criticized Montgomery County's methods of allocating federal coronavirus aid at the board's Feb. 24 meeting, calling the $244,000 the township received a "slap in the face."

Keith Luechtefeld spoke with Community Impact Newspaper about some of the short-term and long-term repercussions of the storm as well as some of the reasons why so many homes saw burst pipes during the freezing weather. (Community Impact staff)
Q&A: Greater Houston Builders Association President Keith Luechtefeld discusses power, plumbing, frozen pipes after Winter Storm Uri

Keith Luechtefeld spoke with Community Impact Newspaper about some of the short-term and long-term repercussions of the storm as well as some of the reasons why so many homes saw burst pipes during the freezing weather.

Harris County ESD No. 11 commissioners met for a meeting Feb. 25. (Courtesy Cypress Creek EMS)
Harris County ESD No. 11 begins construction process on new facility

District offiicials have said they hope Phase 1 of construction will be complete by August.

Winter Storm Uri led to closures across the Greater Houston area during the third week of February. (Courtesy Metropolitan Transit Authority of Harris County)
‘It’s been a rough year for us’: Expert explains economic effects of winter storm, ongoing pandemic in Houston region

“It's been a rough year for us economically; it's been a rough year for us public health wise. It's just been a rough year for us psychologically—first the coronavirus and then the freeze," said Patrick Jankowski, senior vice president of research with the Greater Houston Partnership.

Gracie Barra The Woodlands relocated to a new training center on Richards Road earlier this year. (Courtesy Gracie Barra The Woodlands)
New cosmetic services, MMA gym: 5 recent business updates in The Woodlands and northern Spring

Several businesses have recently opened in or relocated into The Woodlands area.

In addition to produce, Theiss Farms offers grass-fed beef. The family’s herd of cattle grazes in a pasture near the intersection of Spring Cypress and Stuebner Airline roads. (Hannah Zedaker/Community Impact Newspaper)
Theiss Farms Market owner on winter storm: 'I knew everything was going to die, and it did'

Nothing could have prepared local farmers for last week's winter storm, Theiss Farms Market co-owner Dwayne Theiss said.