Coronavirus, unstable oil market challenge energy industry

The energy industry, including Occidental Petroleum Corp. which has offices in The Woodlands, will the effects of lower oil prices, area experts said. (Courtesy Howard Hughes Corp.)
The energy industry, including Occidental Petroleum Corp. which has offices in The Woodlands, will the effects of lower oil prices, area experts said. (Courtesy Howard Hughes Corp.)

The energy industry, including Occidental Petroleum Corp. which has offices in The Woodlands, will the effects of lower oil prices, area experts said. (Courtesy Howard Hughes Corp.)

Image description
Image description
Image description
The Greater Houston economy, including The Woodlands area, is projected to see job losses across the energy industry in 2020, according to several economists examining the industry’s response to the coronavirus outbreak.

With the continued spread of the virus affecting the economy alongside an international conflict over oil prices, several forecasters agreed the Greater Houston area’s economic future remains unclear.

“We’re having the double whammy of having both a natural disaster in the form of coronavirus shutting down the national economy and the oil market being severely depressed as a result of ... the price war between Saudi [Arabia and] Russia,” said Jesse Thompson, a senior business economist with the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, Houston Branch.

Gil Staley, president and chief executive officer of The Woodlands Area Economic Development Partnership, said the organization is constantly monitoring the energy market and oil price swings that could affect employment at local energy companies such as Occidental Petroleum Corp., which acquired The Woodlands’ Anadarko Petroleum Corp. in a $55 billion deal in 2019.

“We’ve been lucky over the years,” Staley said. “We have seen steady growth since ... 1974. ... It’s going to be very painful but we will come back because of that very strong foundation.”


Energy market responses

Since its 2019 acquisition of Anadarko, one of The Woodlands area’s largest employers, Occidental has retained the company’s presence in one of the two former Anadarko towers now owned by the Howard Hughes Corp. However, it has reduced the number of employees at that location.

The Woodlands Area EDP reported Anadarko had 3,666 employees in December 2018 and Occidental had 2,020 as of January 2020, but Gordy Bunch, the chair of The Woodlands Township board of directors, said that was expected to drop to 1,500 by the end of the year.

After oil prices plunged in March, Occidental said in a March 25 statement it planned to cut its capital spending from between $5.2 billion and $5.4 billion to between $2.5 billion and $2.7 billion this year.

Occidental President and CEO Vicki Hollub said March 25 the reductions were planned to reduce the company’s debt and strengthen its financial position due to the recent steep drop in commodity prices worldwide.

The company also announced it will cut its planned 2020 operating and corporate costs by at least $600 million, including salary reductions for its employees.

Officials with ExxonMobil, which headquarters several of its business operations at its Springwoods Village campus south of The Woodlands and has offices in Hughes Landing, also said they were evaluating cuts to capital and operating expenses in a March 16 statement. •Alisa Lukash, a senior analyst for Rystad Energy, which has offices in Houston, said in early March that oil prices of $30 to $40 per barrel were not considered as damaging for companies with a low breakeven price—the price needed for a firm to profitably drill a new well—such as Occidental and ExxonMobil.

However, in late March prices dipped below the $30 mark. According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration, benchmark West Texas Intermediate crude oil prices reached a yearly low of $14.10 per barrel March 30. The WTI market price had peaked at $63.27 in early January.

“Put these together—COVID-19 and oil—and it is not a good situation for Houston or the broad Houston economy,” said Bill Gilmer, director of the University of Houston’s Bauer Institute for Regional Forecasting. “Even a meaningful U.S. slowdown would wipe out most of the 49,000 jobs that I was forecasting for this year. This is one of those times you have to hope for the best and plan for the worst.”

Regional job effects

Patrick Jankowski, senior vice president of research for the Greater Houston Partnership, said the hazy time frame and societal effects of the coronavirus outbreak could lead to hesitance by consumers and businesses to get back to work as the worst of the outbreak subsides. The crisis is expected to bring tens of thousands of job losses across the region in 2020, Jankowski said.•“I’m fairly comfortable saying that we will probably lose ... over 150,000 [jobs] but less than 400,000,” he said.

A March 22 report written by Gilmer also showed the region’s economy could be heading for a downturn.

“As the virus progresses, the loss of workers and caretakers to illness would subtract a steady [10,000]-20,000 workers from payrolls. Then labor force shortages, social distancing, supply disruptions, and public health policy will simply pile on an unknown number of additional job cuts. These losses come on top of the effects of a national recession that would be underway,” Gilmer wrote of the projections.

Thompson said the region’s reliance on the oil market has become more balanced due to growth in other fields in recent years, but the U.S. economy’s overall downturn leaves Houston in an uncertain place in 2020.

“The economy of Houston sells into the broader economy of the United States, and so we have that backdrop of diversification to help weather the storm of the 2015-2016 oil bust. Because of uncertainties with the coronavirus, it’s not clear to what extent the broader economy of the United States is going to provide any sort of stabilization against the forces of this recent collapse in oil prices,” he said.

Danica Smithwick contributed to this report.
By Ben Thompson
Ben joined Community Impact Newspaper in January 2019 and is a reporter for The Woodlands edition.
By Vanessa Holt
A resident of the Houston area since 2011, Vanessa began working in community journalism in her home state of New Jersey in 1996. She joined Community Impact Newspaper in 2016 as a reporter for the Spring/Klein edition and became editor of that paper in March 2017 and editor of The Woodlands edition in January 2019.


MOST RECENT

The June 2 march will culminate with a rally at the steps of Houston City Hall. (Courtesy city of Houston)
Houston city buildings, some METRO services planned to shut down ahead of June 2 march for George Floyd

Ahead of the June 2 march with members of George Floyd's family through downtown Houston, several city services are planning to shut down early in the afternoon.

With protests over the death of George Floyd expected to continue this week in Houston, Mayor Sylvester Turner has called for social distancing, and use of sanitizer and masks among protesters. (Community Impact Newspaper staff)
Harris County coronavirus count: 388 new cases, 3 deaths confirmed June 1

With protests over the death of George Floyd expected to continue this week in Houston, Mayor Sylvester Turner has called for social distancing, and use of sanitizer and masks among protesters.

Businesses shuttering their doors due to coronavirus restrictions lowered the sales tax revenue collected by cities in May compared to May 2019. (Andy Li/Community Impact Newspaper)
Texas comptroller reports 13.2% year-over-year state sales tax revenue drop in May

Tax collection revenue fell significantly in several sectors from May 2019 to May 2020, according to the comptroller's office.

Montgomery County commissioners met June 1 for a special session in Conroe. (Ben Thompson/Community Impact Newspaper)
Montgomery County commissioners greenlight $500 economic stimulus proposal

Application are due between July 1 and Aug. 1. Online and in-person application information will be posted when information becomes available.

Montgomery County reported 12 new COVID-19 cases since May 29. (Community Impact staff)
Montgomery County COVID-19 recoveries increase June 1; 12 new cases reported since May 29

County health officials reported a total of 484 COVID-19 recoveries as of June 1, while 456 cases remain active.

Demonstrators gathered at the Texas Capitol on May 31 to protest police brutality. (Christopher Neely/Community Impact Newspaper)
Texas officials respond to demonstrations, unrest in wake of George Floyd killing

Gov. Greg Abbott issued a state of disaster in Texas on May 31, while various city officials and law enforcment responded to protests and violence over the weekend.

Conroe protests
PHOTOS: Protestors convene in downtown Conroe over George Floyd's death

“We’re not here to destroy our property or destroy our community. We just overcame coronavirus by our businesses being shut down,” Johnson said. “Destroying our property, going and vandalizing things is not the way. Coming together as a unit, making sure our community is stronger, that’s all we can do.”

The rate of new cases being confirmed is still up compared to the end of April and early May. (Community Impact Newspaper staff)
Harris County coronavirus count: Weekly total of new cases falls after two weeks of increases

The rate of new cases being confirmed is still up compared to the end of April and early May.

Texas Medical Center continued to see week-over-week decreases in the total number of active COVID-19 hospitalizations but also saw a significant increase in patient deaths, the medical center reported May 29. (Community Impact staff)
Texas Medical Center sees another week-over-week decrease in COVID-19 hospitalizations

Texas Medical Center continued to see week-over-week decreases in the total number of active COVID-19 hospitalizations but also saw a significant increase in patient deaths, the medical center reported May 29.

The Willie's Grill & Icehouse restaurant in Copperfield is temporarily closed after reopening in mid-May. (Courtesy Willie's Grill & Icehouse Copperfield)
Study predicts coronavirus spike and other top Houston-area stories

Read some of the most popular Houston-area content on Community Impact Newspaper’s website from this week.

The syrup drums being repurposed into rain barrels were donated from Coca-Cola. (Courtesy Galveston Bay Foundation)
Galveston Bay Foundation to host virtual, drive-thru rain barrel workshop

The Kemah-based nature conservation nonprofit is hosting a rain barrel workshop this weekend for Houstonians thirsting for a way to help conserve the community’s water supply.