Enrollment on the decline for SCUCISD, data shows

“That’s what causes this anomaly. ... You think, well, we should be growing 200 kids, but then you have to factor in the mobility and the aging up and the advancing of the grade levels,” Thompson said.

Kindergarten enrollment has been on the downswing this decade, with the 2024-25 enrollment down over 300 from the 2019-20 school year. The ratio of kindergarten enrollment to district births is also at its lowest point in over a decade at about 0.81.

Templeton said that enrollment at nearby charter schools has been “siphoning off a share” of kindergarten enrollment, with the “charter erosion” factor also hurting many districts throughout the area, Templeton said.

District enrollment is projected to continue decline through 2034-35, going from 14,946 in 2024-25 to a projected 13,677 in that year.

What else?

Families who stay in the district area are in a solid market for both housing and employment rate, the report stated.

Out of 20 San Antonio area ISDs, SCUCISD is seventh as far as annual new home closings, meaning papers signing over a home to a buyer.

Templeton said the housing market should stay active with nearly 6,000 homes planned for the future. The average new home sale price in the district rose by 54% in the past decade, while the average existing home sale price has risen by 85%, Templeton said.

The unemployment rate in both Comal and Guadalupe counties rose from December 2023 to December 2024, but the rate for both counties was at 3.3% in December, lower than the rates for the San Antonio metro area and Texas.