Travis County has not yet seen a spike in COVID-19 cases or hospitalizations in the days since Thanksgiving—a holiday local and national public health experts worried could heighten COVID-19 transmission due to increased travel and multi-household celebrations. However, Austin-Travis County Interim Health Authority Dr. Mark Escott said the holiday’s effects will continue to reveal themselves in the coming days.
As of Nov. 30, Travis County had a seven-day moving average of 231 new daily COVID-19 cases, down slightly from a moving average before Thanksgiving. Similarly, the seven-day moving average of coronavirus-related hospital admissions was 32 on Nov. 30, down from 35 a week before. However, Escott said at a Dec. 1 meeting of the Travis County Commissioners Court that holidays have historically had an artificial stunting effect on coronavirus case counts as well as the prevalence of other illnesses and injuries.
“Two things happen: the number of people getting tested goes down, and the number of people presenting to hospitals goes down. Being an emergency physician and working many, many holidays, I can tell you that people are okay with working on the holidays because things tend to be slow. Nobody wants to work the day after the holiday because that’s when people come in. What we see is people delaying their care,” he said.
Because COVID-19 has an incubation period of anywhere from two to 14 days, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, some people exposed to the virus during Thanksgiving could still begin to feel symptoms in days to come. Additionally, Escott said individuals who had put off testing or care for severe symptoms could begin to seek care this week.
